Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000091 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106 0.000111 0.000118
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000085 0.000091 0.000098 0.000107 0.000116 0.000128
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000111 0.000124 0.000141
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000099 0.000112 0.000129 0.000151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000075 0.000085 0.000097 0.000113 0.000132 0.000159
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000138 0.000170
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000072 0.000084 0.000099 0.000119 0.000145 0.000185
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000070 0.000081 0.000097 0.000118 0.000147 0.000191
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000078 0.000094 0.000116 0.000146 0.000193
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000064 0.000076 0.000092 0.000115 0.000146 0.000197
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000111 0.000143 0.000195
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000072 0.000089 0.000113 0.000148 0.000206
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000072 0.000090 0.000116 0.000154 0.000223
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000116 0.000157 0.000231
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000119 0.000165 0.000252
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000119 0.000168 0.000263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000055 0.000069 0.000088 0.000119 0.000169 0.000272
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000089 0.000121 0.000175 0.000291
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000068 0.000090 0.000124 0.000184 0.000317
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067 0.000088 0.000123 0.000184 0.000324
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000120 0.000181 0.000323
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000084 0.000118 0.000180 0.000326
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000081 0.000114 0.000174 0.000317